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Amidst Massive Retail Closings, Central PA Commercial Real Estate Continues to Grow

Posted on June 26, 2017 by Mike Kushner in Blog, Local Market, Trends No Comments

We’ve watched it on the news, read about it in the papers and have seen it in person. Several large retailers in Central Pennsylvania have made the decision to close their doors, such as Sears, Kmart, and hh gregg, as well as a growing list of other retailers struggling to stay in the black.

The landscape of retail real estate is changing, and with that the market is reacting. While some retailers are looking to move out of brick-and-mortar locations, other mega brands like Amazon are looking to move in. What does this mean for the future of retail real estate, specifically here in Harrisburg, York and Lancaster? Let’s take a look at changes that have taken place and trends that have emerged over the last 12 months.

Harrisburg

The Harrisburg retail market has gained 162,000 square-feet of new space in the last 12 months. However, in this same amount of time, the market was only able to absorb 110,000 square-feet, causing the total net absorption for the quarter to drop to a negative 153,000 square-feet. The 4.2% vacancy rate is an increase from the recent low we saw in Q1 2017, when it dipped down to 3.7%. Though the market has 0.0% rent growth, there has been $82M in sales that is almost double the historical average of $52M. Harrisburg has just 1 under-construction retail property that will be delivered in 2017 and will add 12,000 square-feet of unleased space to the market. Though we have recently seen quite a few closings of retail locations, there remains more than 20 proposed projects for new retail space including general retail, community centers and strip malls.

York

The York retail market has gained 27,000 square-feet of new retail space over the last year, with a 12-month net absorption of 152,000 square-feet. The total net absorption for the current quarter is negative 10,000 square-feet. York’s vacancy rate is a bit higher than Harrisburg’s at 5.7%, but over the past 12 months, it has decreased by 0.6%. The market experienced a very small rent growth of 0.1% and did $19M in sales in 12 months’ time. York County has 4 under-construction retail properties that will be delivered in 2017-2018 and will add 264,217 square-feet of mostly unleased space to the market.

Lancaster

In Lancaster County, 34,000 square-feet of new retail space was delivered to the market in the last 12 months. The 12-month net absorption is 169,000 square-feet and the total net absorption for the current quarter is negative 13,000 square-feet. Lancaster’s vacancy rate is much lower than York and Harrisburg, coming in at 2.4%. In the last 12 months the vacancy rate has decreased by 0.6%, reaching its lowest point back in Q4 2016 when it was 2.3%. Like Harrisburg, Lancaster did not experience a rent growth in the last 12 months, but did do $39M in sales. Lancaster County has 5 under-construction retail properties that will be delivered in 2017-2018 and will add 159,500 square-feet of space to the market, more than half of which is preleased.

Trends & Overview

In the current market, each city has its strengths and weaknesses. Harrisburg has the highest 12-month sales of the three, but the lowest net absorption for the current quarter. Lancaster has the lowest vacancy rate of the three, but has relatively unimpressive new construction projects, sales and rental growth. York has the most new retail space scheduled to be delivered in the next few years, but has the lowest 12-month sales of the three.

All things considered, each market appears to be stable and poised for additional growth. Vacancy rates have remained mostly the same or experienced a decrease, the markets are demonstrating their ability to absorb most of the new space that is being delivered, and there continues to be under-construction projects and plan for new space. These indicators provide us with confidence that real estate investors, developers and retailers continue to see value in doing business in Central Pennsylvania.

Between Harrisburg, York and Lancaster, the area offers some unique benefits including more space and at a lower cost compared to big cities. We are also a main corridor for commuters and travelers going to New York, Philadelphia, Baltimore and Washington, D.C. Simply put, Central Pennsylvania has the right combination of resources and advantages to remain a vibrant location for retail growth.

Do you agree? What Central PA market is having the best year so far? Share your thoughts by commenting below!

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Central Pennsylvania Industrial Real Estate Report for Q1 2017

Posted on April 20, 2017 by Mike Kushner in Blog, Commercial Real Estate, Local Market, Trends No Comments

Region gains more than two million square feet of new industrial space in first quarter

2017 is on track to becoming one of the best years yet for industrial real estate in Central Pennsylvania – and we’ve only just wrapped up the first quarter! The market absorbed more than 2 million square feet of new space, while increasing net absorption and holding on to the highest rental rate per square foot that we’ve had in over four years. The vacancy rate also holds steady at 5.5%, even with an increase in vacant space.

The market almost can’t get its hands on space fast enough. Five of the six buildings delivered this quarter made it to CoStar’s Top 10 list. Additionally, nine new buildings are under construction and will deliver yet another 4,410,916 square feet of new space.

To see the full impact of the growth taking place in Central Pennsylvania’s industrial real estate market, take a look at the highlights from Q1 2017.

SELECT YEAR-TO-DATE DELIVERIES

Within the first quarter of 2017, Central Pennsylvania received six new industrial properties, totaling a combined 2,244,371 square feet of space. Five of these made it to CoStar’s list of Select Year-to-Date Deliveries. The first and largest is the Eden Road Logistics Center in York with 754,881 square feet of space. Next, Carlisle Distribution Center – Building 5 delivered 582,000 square feet of space. The Crossroads Logistics Center in Jonestown delivered 398,250 square feet of space. The property at 51 Commerce Drive – Building 1 in Reading delivered 339,200 square feet of space. And the property at 1451 Stoneridge Drive in Middletown contributed an additional 10,200 square feet of space.

SELECT TOP UNDER CONSTRUCTION PROPERTIES

If six new properties delivering in the Q1 wasn’t enough to prove the rapid growth of industrial real estate in Central Pennsylvania, there are yet nine more properties under construction, four of which made it to CoStar’s list of Select Top Under Construction Properties. A 1.1 million square-foot property located at 100 Fry Drive, Mechanicsburg is expected to deliver in Q3. A 1,002,000 square-foot property located at 575 Old Forge Road, Jonestown is also expected to deliver in Q3. The Goodman Logistic Center Carlisle – Building 2 will deliver 938,828 square feet of space in Q2. Finally, Orchard Business Park II – Building A will deliver 780,000 square feet of space in Q4.

SELECT TOP SALES

Among the year’s select top sales, are three worth noting that took place in Central Pennsylvania. The Ames True Temper building in Carlisle (1,226,525 square feet) sold for $90,150,000 to Clarion Partners. Target Distribution Center in York (785,400 square feet) sold for $60,000,000 to AEW Capital Management. And the building at 100 Louis Parkway in Carlisle (400,596 square feet) sold for $28,850,000 to Industrial Property Trust.

ABSORPTION

2017 is setting records all around for industrial real estate in Central Pennsylvania. Q1 boasts the largest number of buildings in existing inventory (3,635) and the largest total RBA (262,658,186 square feet) we have ever seen. In less than four years, the local market gained 45 new buildings, with nine more under construction. Even with all of this new inventory entering the market, net absorption continues to increase, proving the demand for more space. Net absorption this quarter rose from 992,800 square feet to 2,107,328 square feet. This is the highest net absorption we’ve seen since Q2 2015 and the third highest since it plummeted into the negatives in Q2 2013.

VACANCY & RENTAL RATES

Total vacant space increased from 14,255,260 square feet to 14,392,303 square feet this quarter. Even with this increase, the vacancy rate holds steady at 5.5%, where it’s been since Q2 2016. The quoted rental rate also remains steady at $4.36. This is the highest price per square foot we’ve seen prior to Q2 2013, again proving a healthy demand for industrial real estate in Central Pennsylvania!

What trend from the first quarter did you find most interesting or impactful to Central Pennsylvania industrial space? Share your insights by leaving a comment below.

Learn more from past market reports:

Central Pennsylvania CRE Market Reports Q4 2016

Predictions for Trends and Changes in Commercial Real Estate in 2017

Influx of New Construction Impacts Central PA’s Industrial Real Estate Market

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Central Pennsylvania CRE Market Reports Q4 2016

Posted on March 2, 2017 by Mike Kushner in Commercial Real Estate, Local Market, Trends No Comments

The Cost of Commercial Real Estate in Central PA Rises Across All Sectors: Office, Retail and Industrial

2016 wrapped up with quite an interesting quarter for Central PA’s commercial real estate market. Out of all the sectors, office space was the weakest performer. However, even though it dropped to a negative net absorption, its rental rate continued to rise. Retail and Industrial space were the stronger performers. Both finished out the quarter with the highest sales price per square foot that the market has seen for at least four years. In all sectors, new space is rapidly being delivered to the market, which should make it interesting to see how this impacts absorption in future quarters. Take a look at the breakdown of each sector of commercial real estate in Central PA and how it performed in Q4 2016, according to CoStar.

OFFICE

In Q4 2016, Central PA’s office real estate market saw an increase in vacancy, rising to 6.1%. It also dipped into a negative net absorption of -14,026 square feet. Only one building, located at 300 Winding Creek Boulevard in Mechanicsburg (20,000 sqft), was delivered this quarter while four more remain under construction. Once they deliver, they will add a combined 133,590 square feet of new space to the market. Interestingly, the quoted rental rate rose this quarter to $17.38 per square foot, an increase of $0.09 from last quarter and an overall record high from prior to 2013.

RETAIL

In Central PA’s retail real estate market this quarter, a total of 12 new buildings were delivered. Combined, these added 126,296 square feet of new space to the market. Additionally, 12 buildings remain under construction, but once completed will add a combined 272,338 square feet of additional retail space. All of this added space barely impacted vacancy, and in fact, moved the needle in the opposite direction than what might be expected. The percentage of vacant space available dropped down by 0.1% to 4.1%. This is the lowest vacancy has been since prior to 2013. The quoted rental rate jumped up $0.32 to a total of $12.47 per square foot. This is the highest price we have seen also since prior to 2013. Though net absorption decreased by 108,583 square feet, it remains in the black at 262,060 square feet.

Two properties in Central PA made it to CoStar’s list of Select Year-to-Date Deliveries. They are located at I8-1 and Walker Road (109,239 sqft) and 700 West Main Street, Annville (33,000 sqft). Among the 15 Select Top Under Construction Properties featured by CoStar, only one from Central PA made the list and this is the project located at 101 Wilson Avenue in Hanover (136,193 sqft).

INDUSTRIAL

Central Pennsylvania’s industrial market gained four new buildings this quarter with a combined RBA of 1,114,800 square feet. Another 14 buildings still remain under construction and are projected to deliver 6,630,117 square feet of space, once complete. Despite the influx of new space, vacancy has not budged from last quarter and remains at 5.4%. The quoted rental rate even increased by $0.07 from last quarter to $4.37 per space foot. This is the highest rental rate we have seen since prior to 2013. Although net absorption did decrease, it remains in the black at 987,110 square feet.

Of the Select Year-to-Date Deliveries, Central PA made the list three times for the following buildings: Lebanon Valley Distribution Center (874,126 sqft), Trade Center 44 (620,000 sqft) and Gateway Logistics Park – Building B (500,000 sqft). Central PA also had a strong presence on the list of Select Top Sales with 3 of the top 9 properties located in Carlisle and Mechanicsburg.

What trend from Q4 2016 did you find most interesting or impact to the Central Pennsylvania Economy? Share your insights by leaving a comment below.

Learn more from past market reports:

Central Pennsylvania’s Retail Real Estate Market Experiences Record-Setting Quarter

Central PA’s Office Market Sets Recent Records for Vacancy, RBA and Rental Rates!

Influx of New Construction Impacts Central PA’s Industrial Real Estate Market

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The 12 Days of Christmas in Central PA’s Commercial Real Estate

Posted on December 13, 2016 by Mike Kushner in Blog, Commercial Real Estate, Local Market No Comments

The 12 Days of Christmas in Central PA’s Commercial Real Estate

We’re all familiar with the classic holiday song, “The 12 Days of Christmas.” But did you know that each of the 12 presents also relates to something currently taking place in Central Pennsylvania’s commercial real estate market?

With a little creativity, we’ve found these fun facts that you likely didn’t know about our local real estate market. We’re willing to bet that the next time you hear this song, you’ll associate turtle doves and gold rings with something more than Christmas gifts. Take a look!

Partridge in a Pear Tree: Pennsylvania farmers of specialty crops will benefit from nearly $925,000 in federal grants dedicated to research, education and marketing to help strengthen the industry. This grant may not call out pear trees per se, but it does include the National Peach Council and the Pennsylvania Apple Marketing and Research Program.

2 Turtle Doves: After eight years without a direct flight to the state’s capital, “turtle doves” flying from Pittsburgh are finally able to get a nonstop ticket to Harrisburg, fixing a big missing link between the two cities. Beginning in October, Southern Airways Express began offering three daily flights to Harrisburg on weekdays and one each weekend day in an effort to position themselves as “Pennsylvania’s airline.”

3 French Hens: Suez, a French-based multinational corporation, is the second largest supplier of water to U.S towns and cities. Suez provides services to many Central PA communities. In November, Suez opened a new advanced water treatment plant that deploys innovative and highly-effective water treatment processes in Bloomsburg, PA.

4 Calling Birds: Comcast has laid 50 miles of fiber-optic transmission lines throughout Center City Philadelphia and University City. This $30 million project will provide companies on commercial corridors, such as Market Street, with superfast data speeds. It extends the Comcast backbone network to 3,000 Philadelphia businesses and big institutions, among them the University of Pennsylvania and the Thomas Jefferson University Hospitals complex.

5 Gold Rings: The Olympics are contributing to our economic growth right here in Central Pennsylvania. Spooky Nook, home of the Olympic Women’s Field Hockey Team, is having a strong economic impact on the local community that extends beyond Lancaster County. More than 450 new jobs have been created with the opening of the facility in 2015. Through partnerships with over 65 regional hotel properties, the business has contributed more than 60,000 room nights within a 50 mile radius of the location in 2014.

6 Geese a-Laying: We’ve taken a little creative liberty here by replacing geese for a crane, but it’s a pretty interesting fact nonetheless! Philadelphia has an interactive “Crane Watch” website where you can see all of the city’s commercial real estate projects in progress.

7 Swans a-Swimming: A proposed Aquatic Center in Derry Township could be another catalyst for local economic growth. The facility could host large swimming competitions and would also include therapy pools for health and wellness partners as well as a recreational pool.

8 Maids a-Milking: Pennsylvania is still the 5th largest U.S. milk producing state, but may not continue to hold this position for long. An overall decline in fluid milk sales has caused more milk to be used to produce other dairy items such as yogurt. Additionally, Pennsylvania’s rolling herd average is the lowest of its closest competing states.

9 Ladies Dancing: When it comes to Central Pennsylvania’s nightlife, it appears that the ladies prefer to “dance” on the West Shore. Several restaurants that have locations in downtown Harrisburg have opened second locations on the West Shore, including Cork and Fork, Duke’s, Gilligan’s and Federal Taphouse. While many people hope that this will encourage more people to venture into downtown Harrisburg for even more dining options, it remains evident that crossing shores is just too far to travel for some.

10 Lords a-Leaping: Central Pennsylvania landlords are having a banner year as vacancies are down and rental rates are up. With more single families looking to rent a home over purchasing one, rents have been rising all across the board – which is all the more reason these landlords are a-leaping!

11 Pipers Piping: Natural gas pipeline companies and residents continue to clash on the issue of pipeline safety and gaps in regulation and oversight. The natural gas industry has the potentially to significantly impact the local economy. The Panda Patriot plant alone will contribute an estimated $5.85 billion to the area’s economy, with thousands of jobs created during its construction.

12 Drummers Drumming: 2017 should bring higher wages for a broad range of workers. In 2016, CA, NY, and D.C., passed new laws that would raise the minimum wage to $15 per hour. PA remained consistent with the federal minimum wage at $7.25 per hour; however, there were 15 minimum wage bills in the 2016 legislative session that indicate legislators are “drumming up” momentum to make a change to our state’s minimum wage.

Which of the 12 Days of Christmas in commercial real estate did you find most interesting? Or do you have another suggestion to offer? Share your ideas by commenting below!

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Central Pennsylvania’s Retail Real Estate Market Experiences Record-Setting Quarter

Posted on September 15, 2016 by Mike Kushner in Blog, Local Market, Trends No Comments

This quarter has posted some of the highest and lowest numbers we have seen since 2012. In Central Pennsylvania’s local retail real estate market, vacancy rate is low, rental rate is high and both net absorption and total RBA have increased. But overall, what does this tell us about the state of our economy and what we can expect in future quarters?

Let’s take a closer look at some of the record-setting numbers we experienced in Central Pennsylvania’s retail real estate market in 2016’s second quarter and what they mean to the health of the economy.

Select Year-to-Date Deliveries:

Coming in at number three on the list of select year-to-date deliveries is the retail property located at I-81 and Walker Road in Chambersburg. Phase I and II, delivered in Q1 2016, total 109,237 square-feet of space that is 92% leased (44,000 square-feet with 4,400 square-feet vacant). Some of the major tenants include Kohl’s, Target, Giant, Red Robin, Staples, PetSmart, Michael’s, Olive Garden, VisionWorks, ATT&T and many more. Palisades Development, LLC are currently processing LOIs for the remaining space. Phase III is planned and construction will proceed when leasing warrants.

At number 15 on CoStar’s list, is another Palisades Development, LCC retail property located at 968 Norland Avenue in Chambersburg. This 10,800 square-foot building is 100% occupied and was also delivered in Q1 2016.

Select Top Retail Leases:

On the list of Select Top Retail Leases, Harrisburg area east claimed the top spot. Listed at number one is the Harrisburg East Shopping Center with 69,954 square-feet of space. Although not listed by CoStar’s as a “Select Top Retail Lease” for this quarter, plans are in place for the Giant currently in Colonial Commons, to make a move 0.2 miles down Jonestown Road to the Harrisburg East Shopping Center into the retail space formerly occupied by Gander Mountain. This will provide more space for Giant and is already attracting additional retail businesses nearby including a CVS Pharmacy and potentially a fast-casual restaurant, reports KIMCO, owner of the shopping center.

Select Top Sales:

Only one of the nine Select Top Sales from April 2015-June 2016 is from the Central Pennsylvania submarket. The Shoppes at Susquehanna Marketplace sold for $44,000,000 to Clarion Partners. With an RBA of 110,365 square-feet, this came at a cost of $398.68 per square foot.

Additionally, the West Porte Center, listed by CoStar as a Select Top Retail Lease, is more accurately represented as a sale. PennDOT purchased 67,126 square-feet of land for a new Amtrak station in Middletown that is expected to be finished in 2018. This is estimated to be a $32 million project which will include features like a covered pedestrian bridge to provide direct access to Penn State Harrisburg’s campus.

Absorption and Demand:

Net absorption increased this quarter from 64,467 square-feet (in Q1) to 110,449 square-feet, currently. Total RBA also increased, though just slightly, from 88,822,714 square-feet (in Q1) to 88,854,312 square-feet, currently. Six buildings were delivered with a total RBA of 31,598 square-feet. Additionally, five buildings are under construction.

Vacancy:

This quarter, the vacancy rate decreased by 0.1% to 4.7%. This once again matches the vacancy rate of Q4 2015, which is the lowest rate the Central PA submarket has experienced since prior to Q3 2012.

Rental Rate:

The quoted rental rate increased this quarter by $0.11 to $12.00. This is the highest price per square-foot the local retail real estate market has experienced since prior to Q3 2012.

Our Summary/Analysis:

Q2 2016 provided to be an exciting and record-setting quarter for Central Pennsylvania’s retail real estate market. We experienced a recent record low for vacancy rate at 4.7% and a recent record high for quoted rental rate at $12.00 per square-foot. These two trends go hand in hand, so it’s no surprise they would correlate together.

Another positive indicator for the health of the retail real estate market is the increase in net absorption and total RBA. Though neither were record-setting per se, net absorption nearly doubled in a single quarter which is impressive in its own right. It’s safe to say that the market is growing in demand, increasing in price and is able to absorb the new buildings that have been delivered.

What trend do you think will have the greatest impact on the Central Pennsylvania retail market? Share your insight by commenting below!

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5 Signs You Need New Office Space

Posted on August 7, 2016 by Mike Kushner in Blog, Office Leasing, Tenant Representative/Buyer Agent No Comments

It can be difficult to see the signs that you need new office space for your business. Maybe it’s the fear of change or the discomfort of moving all of your files, equipment and employees to a new office. Whatever the hesitation, the consequences of not moving to a better functioning space can be far worse than the temporary inconvenience of relocating.

Take a look at these five signs that you might need new office space and think about how they relate to your own work environment.

You’re struggling to retain/attract talent

Is your turnover rate increasing? Are potential hires turning down your job offers? While many other factors contribute to these issues, don’t underestimate how your office space may be playing into the struggle to find and retain talent. People want to work in an energizing, fun and inspiring environment. If your office space is crowded, disorganized and in desperate need of repairs, it’s time to look for an upgrade or risk having talent walk right out your door.

There’s a lack of privacy

While it may seem fun and hip to have your employees work in one big open space together, keep in mind that people need privacy, just as much as they need community, to get work done. If your office space lacks a private area for holding meetings or making phone calls – or even just a space where employees can go to work in silence for a few hours, it’s time to look for an office that provides a little more privacy.

It doesn’t reflect your brand or company culture

Are you an innovative tech startup, but you’re working in an office space that looks like it belongs to a law firm from the 1950’s? When your work environment contrasts with your brand and company culture, it can have a negative impact on your employees. It’s important to work in a space that complements the brand you’re working to create. This is a subconscious reminder to employees of the business’s core values you want them to represent in everything they do.

There’s no room for growth

If you’re a business that has plans to grow your operations and add to your number of employees, yet you don’t have room for one more desk, let alone a filing cabinet, it’s time to start looking for new office space! Don’t wait until you are desperate to move, or you may make a desperate decision that isn’t in your best interest. Start looking for more space preemptively and work with a qualified commercial real estate broker who can help you negotiate the best deal possible.

You’re paying too much

Finally, if you’re dumping too much of your profits into your office lease, it’s time to look for a more financially responsible work space. Sure, a pricy loft with views of the Harrisburg Capitol is great for your ego, but it’s terrible for the sustainability of your business. This is a red flag that it’s time to work with a tenant representative who can show you a wide variety of attractive options while staying within your budget.

Can you relate to one or more of these signs? Ask us your office space related questions and we will personally respond with our expert advice!

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Hundreds of Thousands of Square-Feet of New Office Space Coming to Central PA in 2016

Posted on August 1, 2016 by Mike Kushner in Blog, Local Market, Trends No Comments

Two new construction projects, located at the intersection of Carlisle Pike and Hogestown Road in Mechanicsburg, will deliver 258,000 square-feet of office space to Central Pennsylvania this year. Silver Spring Township is calling this construction “Class A Office Space Project” and are confident that, by attracting new businesses to the area, this space will benefit the entire community and its existing businesses.

Here’s a look at how the market has responded to this new space, as well as our analysis of the long-term trends that are yet to come.

Select Year-to-Date Deliveries/Top Under-Construction Properties:

In Q2 2016, Central Pennsylvania had just one building delivered, but it was substantial. Ranked number one on the Greater Philadelphia list of Year-to-Date Deliveries is the office space located at 974 Hogestown Road, Building 200, Mechanicsburg. It is Class A office space that is 100% occupied. Another 129,000 square-feet building, also located on Hogestown Road is under construction and projected to be completed in Q3 2016.

Absorption and Demand:

In Q2 2016, the net absorption has almost doubled since Q1 2016 and is nearly six times larger than it was in Q4 2015. In Q4 2015 it was 50,949 square-feet, increasing to 162,531 square-feet and further increasing this quarter to 301,337 square-feet. This is the largest net absorption we have seen in over a year, compounded by the fact that Central Pennsylvania’s last four years of net absorption has been varied and volatile. One new building delivered this quarter contributed 129,000 square-feet of pre-leased space to the market. There are 2 more buildings currently under construction and they are expected to deliver 136,590 square-feet of space to the market later this year.

Vacancy:

The vacant square footage decreased from 3,705,257 square-feet (Q1) to 3,532,920 (Q2). The vacancy rate also decreased to 6.5% (down 0.3% from last quarter). This is the lowest vacancy rate we have seen since prior to Q3 2012 and is only the second time it’s dipped into the 6.0% range, with last quarter being the first time. Though the vacancy rates have bounced slightly between increasing and decreasing each quarter since 2012, the overall trend has been a decrease.

Rental Rate:

This quarter, the quoted rental rate decreased from $17.32 (Q1) to $17.25. This is the first decrease that we have seen since Q3 2013. However, the fact that the price per square foot still remains above $17.00 makes it a higher price point than the market has experienced between the years of 2012-2015.

Employment:

Pennsylvania’s unemployment rate rose to 5.6% in June. The local labor force declined by 4,000 from May’s record high level of 6.54 million. The Pennsylvania Department of Labor reported that nine of the 11 sectors actually posted job increases in June; however, the two sectors that posted a loss, mining and logging and trade, transportation and utilities, were enough to cause the unemployment rate to rise. They each posted job losses of 600.

Our Summary/Analysis:

Silver Spring Township’s “Class A Office Space Project” is drawing new business into Central Pennsylvania. With 129,000 square-feet of 100% occupied space delivered to the market this quarter and another building of the same size to be delivered next quarter, there is a proven demand for this space. Furthermore, this spur of activity has the potential to draw even more businesses into the area who want to be part of the growing business community. This would come at an opportune time as the local market is experiencing a rise in unemployment.

What trend this quarter do you think will have the greatest impact on the Office Real Estate market moving forward? Share your insight by commenting below!

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6 Lessons Learned from a Tenant Rep

Posted on July 18, 2016 by Mike Kushner in About Us, Blog, Tenant Representative/Buyer Agent No Comments

As the owner of Omni Realty Group, Mike Kushner has been exclusively practicing Tenant Rep/Buyer Agency since 1998, when he first established the company. Now, with almost 20 years of experience under his belt, Mike shares his top six most valuable lessons learned from his career as a tenant representative/buyer agent.

Everyone Deserves to be Treated with Respect

This lesson is so simple, yet so often overlooked. Any successful business owner, regardless of industry or size, should treat everyone they encounter with respect. The bottom line is that you never know how they may impact your business in the future. Employees, vendors, customers and anyone else can all serve as walking testimonials for your business – and you. Give them every reason to talk about how great you are to work with. Don’t risk having someone out there badmouthing their experience with you because of something that could have been prevented by treating them with a little more respect.

Never Take Your Reputation for Granted

Businesses balance on their reputation of service and the ethics and integrity of how they provide that service. I have always operated my business with an important rule in mind: We are the reputation we create. There’s really no way around it; you are the only one who can make or break your own reputation. Make every effort to protect it!

Do What You Say You Are Going to Do

Few things can destroy the integrity of the relationship that exists between service provider and customer as quickly as non-performance. Fail to deliver, and the customer will lose trust and become justifiably skeptical of future commitments. Furthermore, they will quickly move on to someone who will deliver

We Are Always Learning

Every day brings new experiences that broaden my understanding of this wonderful industry that is my livelihood. Keep your eyes and mind open to opportunities to learn. These can come in unconventional ways and at unexpected moments – don’t overlook them!

It’s Often Difficult for Tenants and Buyers to Spot “Double Dipping”

This lesson is very frustrating for an exclusive tenant representative and that is that tenants and buyers don’t easily see that a broker is taking advantage of them with a “double end” deal (i.e. collecting commission checks on both sides of their transactions). Also known as “double dipping” in commercial real estate circles, this practice is far more common that it should be.

Not only is it greedy and unfair, it’s insulting to the tenant or buyer to think that they aren’t smart enough to eventually realize what’s going on. The bottom line is that listing or selling brokers are salesmen. They get paid more if you lease in their listed building and are therefore incentivized to get you to do so. If you work with anyone who is not an exclusive tenant rep, you are not likely to see all the options truly available to you.

Business Should Review Their Lease Far More Often Than They Do

Most businesses only look at their leases every five years (or right before renewal). The truth of the matter is that real estate occupancy cost is a major expense for any business and should be reviewed on a regular basis, at least annually. Furthermore, the terms of your lease should provide for a lease audit to allow you to ensure that expenses being passed through to you, the tenant, are fair and accurate.

In short, working with a commercial real estate broker should be a pleasant and stress-free experience. If it’s not, you’re likely working with the wrong broker who isn’t putting your interests first. If nearly 20 years of experience has taught me anything, it’s that the people – not the property – are the priority.

Which of these lessons do you feel is the most important for running a successful and respected business? Share your opinion by commenting below!

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Central PA Retail Market Reacts to 7 New Buildings Delivered in First Quarter 2016

Posted on June 27, 2016 by Mike Kushner in Blog, Local Market, Trends No Comments

2016 has already proven to be an interesting year for Central Pennsylvania’s retail real estate market. A total of seven new buildings were delivered this quarter alone with a combined RBA of nearly 150,000 square-feet of space – only some of which is occupied. As a result, this new space has impacted vacancy and rental rates as well as net absorption. Here is a more detailed look at some of the highlights from Q1 2016 for Central Pennsylvania retail.

Select Year-to-Date Deliveries:

Seven new buildings were delivered to the Central Pennsylvania retail market in Q1 2016. Six of these properties made it to CoStar’s list of the Philadelphia Market’s Top 15 Select Year-to-Date Deliveries. They are as follows:

Number 2 on CoStar’s list is the building at I-81 and Walker Road with an RBA of 109,237 square-feet that is 12% occupied.
Number 7 on CoStar’s list is the building at 968 Norland Avenue with an RBA of 10,500 square-feet that is 71% occupied.
Number 10 on CoStar’s list is the building at Cedar Crest Crossing with an RBA of 7,310 square-feet that is 100% occupied.
Number 11 on CoStar’s list is the building at 2101 Strickler Road with an RBA of 7,043 square-feet that is 0% occupied.
Number 13 on CoStar’s list is the building at Donegal Square with an RBA of 6,108 square-feet that is 0% occupied.
Number 15 on CoStar’s list is the Chik-Fil-A located at Chambersburg Square with an RBA of 5,000 square-feet that is 100% occupied.

Absorption and Demand:

After hitting a low of negative 152,049 square-feet in first quarter 2015, net absorption has been on a steady climb. However, this trend came to an end this quarter with a significant decrease in net absorption, dropping from 281,270 square-feet (Q4 2015) to 105,984 square-feet (Q1 2016). The seven new buildings, with a combined RBA of 149,898 square-feet, most certainly had an impact on the market’s ability to absorb the new space. It’s also worth noting that Central Pennsylvania comes in second, only behind suburban Philadelphia, in year-to-date net absorption and deliveries.

Vacancy:

This quarter the vacancy rate barely budged, increasing from 4.8% to 4.9%. What’s worth noting is that this is one of the very few times we have seen the rate increase during a nearly four-year-long trend of decreasing rates. After hitting a high of 6.0% in the latter part of 2012, rates hit their lowest number last quarter at 4.8%. Could this quarter’s increase be the start of an ongoing trend of increasing rates? The seven new buildings delivered to the market this quarter would indicate yes, which brings us to our next area of focus.

Rental Rates:

Lastly, the quoted rental rates have increased by $0.05, from $11.83 last quarter to $11.88 this quarter, returning them nearly to where they were in Q3 2015. Over the past four years, Central Pennsylvania’s rental rates for retail space have increased and decreased without much consistency. It will be interesting to watch these numbers throughout the rest of the year.

Our Summary/Analysis:

With nearly 150,000 square-feet of new retail space dumped into the market this quarter, Central Pennsylvania has responded to these changes well – all things considered. The vacancy rate moved just ever so slightly and rental rates actually increased, proving the market has a demand for this new space. Further proof is that Central Pennsylvania ranks second to suburban Philadelphia in year-to-date net absorption and deliveries. We should keep a keen eye on how the new construction will continue to impact our local businesses and economy as there is sure to be additional movement and emerging trends!

What trend this quarter do you find most noteworthy? Share your thoughts by commenting below!

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Central PA Industrial Market Booms with New Construction

Posted on May 14, 2016 by Mike Kushner in Blog, Commercial Real Estate, Trends No Comments

Central Pennsylvania is in the midst of a new construction boom when it comes to industrial real estate. Last quarter, eight new buildings were delivered to the market and this quarter, we see another five new properties reach completion. Additionally, five more buildings are under construction and set to be delivered later this year. Combined, this is millions of square-feet of space, with much of it not yet occupied or preleased.

How is this new construction trend impacting the local market? Moreover, what can it tell us about the health of the local economy? Here is summary of the data from first quarter 2016 for the Central Pennsylvania industrial submarket that provides insight to help answer these questions.

Select Year-to-Date Deliveries:

Five of the top nine Select-Year-to-Date Deliveries for first quarter 2016 are located within the Central Pennsylvania submarket. Coming in at number two on the list is 575 Old Forge Road. This property has an RBA of 500,000 square-feet and is 0% occupied. Number four on the list is the Susquehanna Logistics Center with an RBA of 4323,300 square-feet and is also 0% occupied. The third of the five Select-Year-to-Date Deliveries in Central Pennsylvania comes in at number seven on the list. It is located at 1165 Strickler Road with an RBA of 40,000 square-feet and is 100% occupied. Next, at number eight on the list, is 551 Manchester Court with an RBA of 36,000 square-feet and is 100% occupied. Finally, at number nine is 211 Piper Circle with an RBA of 26,825 square-feet and 45% occupied.

Select Top Under Construction Properties:

The incredible amount of new space being pumped into the Central Pennsylvania industrial real estate market is only going to continue to increase as five more properties are under construction and expected to be delivered in 2016. These properties include: Lebanon Valley Distribution Center with an RBA of 874,126 square-feet; Eden Road Logistics Center with an RBA of 755,421 square-feet; Trade Center 44 with an RBA of 620,000 square-feet; 192 Kost Road with an RBA of 422,400 square-feet; and LogistiCenter 78-81 with an RBA of 405,000 square-feet. All five properties are 0% preleased.

Absorption and Demand:

Net absorption has dropped significantly since last quarter. Previously at 1,730,592 square-feet in fourth quarter 2015, it ended first quarter 2016 at 123,946 square-feet. Contributing to this trend is the delivered inventory of five buildings this quarter and eight buildings last quarter with a combined impact of 3,904,745 square-feet of new space in six short months!

Vacancy:

This quarter, the vacant square footage jumped from 13,451,560 to 14,353,739. The vacancy % jumped from 5.3% to 5.6%, which is the highest we have seen it since fourth quarter 2014. Compared to the vacancy % that was in the 6’s and 7’s prior to second quarter 2014, this is still moderate to low, but it is showing a trend of increasing over the last year.

Rental Rates:

The quoted rental rates have increased by $0.11, from $4.11 last quarter to $4.22 this quarter. This is the highest quoted rental rate the Central Pennsylvania industrial submarket has seen since prior to second quarter 2012.

Our Summary/Analysis:

Although net absorption dropped significantly and large amounts of space continues to be added to the market, I believe that the demand for space will continue to soar. The whole chain of moving goods, from producer to consumer, is being upended by consumer shifts toward e-commerce, to the advantage of wholesalers and warehouse space, generally. Other demand drivers are also firing strongly, in concert with the continuing economic recovery. As with other property sectors, demand for space naturally rises with GDP growth and especially job growth.

But industrial demand depends on two factors, in addition to retail demand: trade and housing construction. Warehouses benefit from housing construction as home builders need large spaces in which to store their materials. Housing stats are not at the level of the mid 2000’s. But volumes have recovered nicely since the recession, with the annual rate now up to 1.1 million units, twice the rate at the depth of the recession and finally approaching the levels of the mid 1900’s prior to the housing boom.

And trade is up, building on a long upward trend for both imports and exports dating back at least 50 years due to greater trade liberalization. Exports and imports combined have tripled their share of our nation’s Gross Domestic Product, from less than 10% in the 1960’s to almost 30% now. Our growing trade means that an increasing share of products that we buy and sell, end up in warehouses at some point in their journey from producer to consumer. Putting all these factors together – rising trade, increasing housing construction, and the shift to e-commerce, all in the context of at least moderate economic growth – provide fuel for strong tenant demand for warehouse space.

How do you anticipate the boom in new industrial real estate space will impact the local market and economy? Share your insights by commenting below!

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