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Posts tagged "retail real estate"

Home» Posts tagged "retail real estate"

COVID-19 Crushes an Already Delicate Retail Real Estate Market

Posted on September 1, 2020 by Mike Kushner in Blog, Local Market, Retail No Comments

You don’t have to dig far into the news before you’re hit with another announcement of a retail store closing its doors and filing for bankruptcy due to the global pandemic. For many retail businesses who were already in debt before the hit of COVID-19, this blow has proven to be one from which many businesses will not recover.

It’s reported that as many as 25,000 stores could shutter their doors in 2020 due to COVID-19 impact. This is 10,000 more than the previously estimated 15,000 stores that would close this year following a record number of closings in 2019 and the liquidation of chains like Payless ShoeSource, Gymboree and Dressbarn. And it appears this is only the beginning. The list of retailers filing for bankruptcy since just May now includes RTW Retailwinds, Lucky Brand, J.C. Penney, Brooks Brothers, Sur La Table, Neiman Marcus, Tuesday Morning, GNC Holdings and J. Crew.

In filing for bankruptcy, some retailers like Pier 1 Imports will close all of their stores permanently, while others like Victoria’s Secret and J.C. Penney, will only close 250 and 154 store respectively, but plan to keep the rest open at this time. Even the biggest brands like Starbucks are facing closures even though just moths prior drive-thru lines wrapped around the coffee shop most mornings. They are set to close 400 company-owned locations over the next 18 months. As People stated, it’s essentially every household name brand who is filing for bankruptcy or closing stores amid the pandemic.

A Crisis for Shopping Malls

Interestingly, it’s estimated that approximately 55%-60% of all store closures will be mall-based. This will result in heavily vacant malls that can’t attract the shoppers it once did, possibly forcing more store closures or the closure of the entire mall. As this sweeps across the nation, we will face large, unused commercial retail space with no fast or easy way for owners and investors of CRE properties to recoup their loss.

The challenges surrounding department store closures are unique and especially problematic for malls not just because of the foot traffic they’re supposed to deliver. Many malls also have clauses in their leases that allow other, smaller tenants to leave if anchor tenants drop out. So once retailers like J.C. Penney close this could open the flood gate for massive departures from smaller stores, without any real course of action from the malls.

This begs the question, can shopping malls survive the coronavirus pandemic with the reality of massive, permanent store closings?

Before COVID-19, shopping malls were just beginning to again hit their stride for those who smartly adapted to the shift to online retail. Many had gone to great lengths to incorporate more dining, entertainment, and fitness and personal services into their offerings to attract people to do more than just shop. Now that the pandemic has hit, all of these in-person past times have been severely impacted and forced to reduce occupancies or close entirely. As USA Today shared, “The whole business model of a mall, which is about pulling in as many people as you can and getting them to stay for as long as you can, has just unraveled.”

Analysts at Coresight Research predict a bleak future for shopping malls. They project that about 25% of America’s malls will disappear within the next three to five years. But add that this could rise to as many as 50% if we can’t stop the bleeding. If this happens, the face of America and the way people spend their time and make retail purchases will drastically change even more than they already have.

A Silver Lining – For a Lucky Few

What’s interesting to note is that some retailers have flourished during the pandemic. For these retail stores, nearly all of them – such as Walmart, Target, Kroger and Home Depot – offered essential services of some kind, including groceries and home improvement goods. Few are typically located in malls. And as we know for a while there, if you were a retailer who provided paper goods or sanitizer and cleaning supplies, your business instantly boomed beginning in March.

Additionally, these “big box” businesses are well poised to also benefit from online shopping, already having the infrastructure in place and the warehousing to store and ship items efficiently. For many smaller retailers and especially boutique businesses, it simply isn’t possible to adjust this quickly or finance it.

For retailers who remain hopeful that there will again be a day when people can get back to shopping like they did pre-COVID-19, it’s usually with the belief there will be a vaccine in the next 12-18 months. Unfortunately the reality is many businesses will not survive that long. And for the strong who do survive, they will surely feel the hit in the short-term.

How do you think such widespread retail closures will impact the way we shop and spend our free time? Better yet, what stands to replace the “experiential” model of shopping malls? Share your thoughts by commenting below.

[Online Resources] Real Estate, agent, bankruptcy, broker, central pa, closing, closures, covi-19, COVID, COVID19, entertainment, impact, local market, mall, money, pandemic, pennsylvania, restaurants, retail, retail real estate, shopping, shopping mall, shut down, stores, tenant representative

uBreakiFix Opens New Retail Space with the Help of Omni Realty

Posted on October 2, 2019 by Mike Kushner in Blog, Commercial Real Estate, Local Market, Retail No Comments

At Omni Realty Group, it’s our passion to work with Central Pennsylvania businesses to help them find the right commercial space where they can thrive. One of our recent clients, uBreakiFix, provides a perfect example of how working with a tenant representative, like Omni, will have a big impact on the searching, negotiating, and commercial leasing process. Here’s how James McNeil, owner of uBreakiFix in Mechanicsburg came to find a new home for his business with Omni’s assistance.

About the Business

First, let’s learn a little bit more about the business and its retail needs. uBreakiFix fixes electronic devices. From the all-too-common phone drop in the parking lot to the tablet in the toilet, they’ve fixed just about every drop, slip, trip, and fumble you can envision. Those suffering the “trauma” of a broken electronic device, can walk into uBreakiFix and seek repair right on the spot – often in under one hour.

When looking for the right retail location, James knew he needed a space with high visibility and drive-by traffic. Ideally, the store would have other stores or attractions nearby where customers could browse or relax while their device was being fixed. Finally, the location needed to hit the right demographic of uBreakiFix’s target market.

Search and Struggle…then Success!

James started on his search solo. He poured hours of his time into researching possible locations. And after spending even more time touring many different properties, he came up empty handed. Fortunately, James reached out to Omni Realty Group and Mike Kushner became his tenant representative to help him in his search. Within a couple of weeks, Mike found what would become the business’s future home.

Located at 4957 Carlisle Pike, Mechanicsburg, this retail space met all of the “must haves” on James’s list. The store is part of the newly built Hampden Shops Plaza on the Carlisle Pike, one of the area’s most heavily trafficked roads for retail shopping. Within the plaza, there are places to eat, shop, get your hair cut, and much more. Rite Aid and CVS are within walking distance as well. Best of all, since it was a new space, uBreakiFix could really make it their own, by influencing the interior layout and décor.

Life Takes Compromise

The number one benefit of this space, and ultimately why James knew it was the right spot for his business, was location. It put him exactly where he wanted to be – visibility, traffic, and target market. But with anything, there was a compromise. The price point for the space was at the top of James’s budget. With Mike’s help, they negotiated this to a fair and reasonable rate that was consistent with other pricing in the area. Ultimately this was a compromise James was willing to make, considering all the other benefits of the space that would put them in the best possible position to grow.

The Difference of Having a Tent Representative

In his own words, James describes his experience working with Omni Realty Group:

“Mike did the research on the area and provided all of the relevant data to make the best decision for us. He got me in front of decision makers for the properties we look at and helped negotiate the lease payment to get the deal done. From a personal experience, it would have taken me a lot longer to find a location, as I was looking for retail space for four months, with no success, prior to working with Mike.”

Valuable Lessons Learned

If James had to go through this process again, there are valuable lesson he would apply to his next search for retail space. Here are four things he feels every business should know:

  1. Start the process with a tenant representative by your side. This alone will save you so much time, and in the end, money.
  2. Do not jump on the first option presented to you. Continue to explore even just a few more options and then fully compare pros and cons.
  3. Always negotiate.
  4. Compromise is necessary, but make sure you do not compromise on something that is most important to you.

If your business is looking for new retail, office, or industrial space in Central Pennsylvania, please reach out today so Omni Realty Group can help you like we helped uBreakiFix.

[Online Resources] Real Estate, camp hill, carlisle, carlisle pike, CCIM, central pa, Commercial Real Estate, commercial space, CRE, gettysburg, harrisburg, hershey, industrial, lancaster, lemoyne, mechanicsburg, Mike Kushner, office, Omni, Omni Realty Group, real estate agent, real estate broker, retail, retail real estate, retail space, Tenant Representation, tenant representative, ubreakifix, york

17 New Retail Buildings Under Construction in Central PA

Posted on September 18, 2017 by Mike Kushner in Blog, Local Market, Trends No Comments

Cost of retail space in Central Pennsylvania continues to climb despite negative absorption and rising vacancy.

If you’ve been paying attention you know that traditional retail space is undergoing a major shift in how and where it’s being used. Many stores have closed their doors and/or have embraced the growth of ecommerce over brick-and-mortar locations.

In Central Pennsylvania, we’re seeing quite a few interesting trends that indicate more change is yet to come. Net absorption plummets further into the negative with just 3 new buildings delivered this quarter. A total of 17 new buildings are under construction which begs the question of how the market will respond when 423,994 square-feet of new space is delivered in the coming months. Though vacancy rate is on the rise, so is the quoted rental rate.

How do these trends tie together and what do they tell us about the future of retail real estate in Central Pennsylvania? Let’s take a closer look.

SELECT TOP UNDER CONSTRUCTION PROPERTIES

Coming in at number five on CoStar’s list of Select Top Under Construction Properties is the Gateway Hanover Shopping Center on Wilson Avenue in Hanover. The 136,193 square-foot Target is expected to be completed in Q3 2017. Number seven on the list is the Crossings at Conestoga Creek in Lancaster. This mixed-use project, anchored by Wegmans, will deliver 90,000 square-feet of unleased retail space in Q4 2018. Coming in at number 14 on the list is the Shoppes on South Queen located at 1701 S. Queen Street in York. The 55,000 square-feet of space, which will be delivered in Q4 2017, is 53% preleased.

SELECT TOP LEASES

Among CoStar’s list of Select Top Leases for Q2, one Central Pennsylvania lease made it to the top 10. Red Rose Commons in Lancaster County leased 43,091 square-feet of retail space to Burlington Coat Factory.

ABSORPTION

Net absorption, which was already in the red from Q1, fell even lower this quarter to negative 268,916 square-feet. This is the greatest square footage of space to be negatively absorbed in any one quarter since Q3 2013. It is also only the fourth time the market has experienced a negative net absorption in four years. Three new retail buildings were delivered this quarter totaling just 43,825 square-feet; however, 17 additional building are under construction with a total of 423,994 square-feet of new space that will be dumped into the market in the coming months.

VACANCY & RENTAL RATES

Vacancy rates raised ever so slightly this quarter, from 4.0% to 4.4%. Even with a negative net absorption and increasing vacancy rates, the quoted rental rate rose in Q2 from $13.10 to $13.58 per square foot. This is a recent record high for vacancy rates that have been almost consistently decreasing since 2013.

What we can learn from the market’s performance in Q2 is that, while retail space nationwide has taken a major blow over the last few years, it’s still in demand. The shift toward ecommerce has changed the landscape of retail real estate, but it has not made it completely irrelevant. New buildings are under construction, retailers are moving into new space and the rising cost per square foot demonstrates the demand exists.

Over the coming months and years, it will be important to watch how retailers strategically place their brick-and-mortar locations and how they rebuild their business model to harness the popularity of ecommerce. The business that will thrive in this new landscape will be ones who embrace change and listen to consumer demand.

What trend in Central Pennsylvania’s retail market do you think will have the largest impact? Share your insight and join in the conversation by leaving a comment below!

Learn more from past market reports:

Amidst Massive Retail Closings, Central PA Commercial Real Estate Continues to Grow

Central PA Experiences Highest Number of Retail Store Closings Since Recession

6 Things Disrupting Commercial Real Estate in 2017

 

[Online Resources] Real Estate, absorption, blog, central pennsylvania, Commercial Real Estate, costar, CRE, facts, harrisburg, lancaster, market report, Mike Kushner, mixed use, Omni Realty Group, pennsylvania, q2, rental rates, retail, retail real estate, retail space, statistics, stores, top leases, top sales, trends, under construction, vacancy, york

The Success of Urgent Care Clinics Mostly Depends on Real Estate

Posted on August 1, 2017 by Mike Kushner in Blog, Healthcare, Local Market No Comments

successful urgent care clinics must start with a smart real estate strategyWhen it comes to healthcare, there is no shortage of demand for convenient and cost-effective providers. As a result, the American Healthcare System has shifted its focus toward creating outpatient urgent care clinics as a low-cost alternative to hospital emergency rooms.

The Urgent Care Centers industry now represents one of the fastest growing segments of the American Healthcare System. There are 340 walk-in clinics and 209 urgent care centers located in Pennsylvania alone. Depending upon where you live, it may feel like there is an urgent care clinic on just about every street corner, but the strategy behind choosing the right real estate space for an outpatient clinic is well researched and carefully considered.

Real Estate Strategy for Urgent Care Locations

Urgent care clinics are commonly located in retail settings that offer high visibility and foot traffic. Shopping centers and free-standing buildings that are located near big box stores, restaurants and food/drug retailers are among the most attractive spots. It’s vital to the success of the clinic that its location be easy to find, have free and convenient parking, and appear clean and attractive.

Aside from the physical aspects of the real estate space, urgent care clinics must also consider the demographics of the market they will serve. A highly viable market will demonstrate substantial health needs that are not currently being met by hospitals’ emergency rooms, due to limited access and long wait times. Next, the market should also have a favorable payer mix of patients who are either covered by insurance or have the ability to pay out-of-pocket.

In addition to these industry-specific considerations, traditional real estate data should also be taken into consideration. The number of residential homes, income levels and location of competitors will also have an impact on determining the best location for an urgent care clinic. As a business that relies hugely on walk-in traffic, the look and location of a clinic is as important as the care it provides.

PinnacleHealth Enters Urgent Care Industry

pinnaclehealth and allbettercare logosIn Central Pennsylvania we have seen the success of a growing urgent care group that was founded in Silver Spring Township in 2010. AllBetterCare Urgent Care Center opened its first location on the Carlisle Pike and now has two more locations in South Middleton Township (Cumberland County) and Susquehanna Township (Dauphin County). The company says it has seen almost 100,000 new patients since its founding, which makes sense as to why PinnacleHealth announced its affiliation with AllBetterCare that will be completed this fall. The two healthcare businesses share the same desire to reduce unnecessary emergency room visits and decrease emergency room wait times for patients.

Pinnacle’s move into a new sector of the healthcare system aligns with its overall growth strategy to diversify its healthcare services and enter new markets across Pennsylvania. The company recently acquired four mid-state hospitals including Carlisle Regional Medical Center (Cumberland County), not far from two AllBetterCare locations. Pinnacle has also committed to construction of a new campus in York County which will replace the existing Memorial Hospital and continues to work on an affiliation with the University of Pittsburgh Medical Center.

Diversifying Pinnacle’s healthcare services and facilities also means diversifying its real estate portfolio. Affiliating itself with AllBetterCare will serve to help Pinnacle reduce the burden on its hospitals, alleviating the need to expand emergency rooms or construct new facilities that would come at a much larger cost, and risk, than simply making outpatient urgent care clinics more readily available. The partnership between AllBetterCare and Pinnacle is a step in the right direction, not just for the businesses’ bottom-line, but for access to quality healthcare for hundreds of thousands of patients across Pennsylvania.

Have you used an outpatient urgent care clinic? What about the facility and its location made you choose it over another option? Share your insight and experience by leaving a comment!

[Online Resources] Real Estate, allbettercare, american health systems, camp hill, carlisle, central pennsylvania, Commercial Real Estate, east shore, emergency room, growth, harrisburg, health care, healthcare, hershey, hospital, lancaster, lemoyne, mechanicsburg, Mike Kushner, new cumberland, Omni Realty Group, outpatient, pennsylvania, pinnaclehealth, retail real estate, trends, urgent care, urgent care centers, urgent care clinics, west shore, york

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