Home» Posts tagged "second quarter"

Central Pennsylvania Office Real Estate Made Few Gains in 2017

Posted on February 19, 2018 by Mike Kushner in Blog, Local Market, Office Leasing No Comments

Vacancy rates in the local office market remained mostly stagnant moving into the New Year.

If the saying “no news is good news” can be applied to Central Pennsylvania’s office real estate market, then 2017 was a good year indeed! We closed out 2017 with few noticeable gains and mostly stagnant vacancy and rental rates. On a positive note this means there were no lasting drops to cause volatility to the market; however, if “stagnant” remains an ongoing theme for our local office real estate market in 2018, we may have some cause for concern.

Let’s take a look at some key data for our three local submarket clusters: Harrisburg/Carlisle, Lancaster and York/Hanover. You will see that each experienced its own ebb and flow with some submarket clusters faring better than others at the close of fourth quarter 2017. The most important question to consider when looking at this data is: “What submarket is poised to perform the best in 2018 and what does that mean for commercial real estate and our local economy?”

Harrisburg/Carlisle Submarket Cluster

Vacancy – The office vacancy rate for the Harrisburg/Carlisle Submarket Cluster increased to 6.3% at the end of the fourth quarter 2017. The vacancy rate was 5.8% at the end of the third quarter 2017, 5.9% at the end of the second quarter 2017, and 6.5% at the end of the first quarter 2017, placing it just shy of where we began the year.

Absorption – Net absorption for the Harrisburg/Carlisle Submarket Cluster was a negative (135,877) square feet in the fourth quarter 2017. That compares to positive 25,603 square feet in the third quarter 2017, negative (6,036) square feet in the second quarter 2017, and positive 22,829 square feet in the first quarter 2017.

Largest Lease Signing – The largest lease signing occurring in 2017 was the 57,764 square foot lease signed by Pennsylvania Health and Wellness, Inc. at 300 Corporate Center Drive located in Camp Hill.

Rental Rates – The average quoted asking rental rate for available office space, all classes, was $18.12 per square foot per year at the end of the fourth quarter 2017 in the Harrisburg/Carlisle Submarket Cluster. This represented a .89% increase in quoted rates from the end of the third quarter 2017, when rents were reported at $17.96 per square foot.

Inventory – Throughout 2017, a total of two new office buildings were delivered to the market with a combined total of 73,000 square feet. At the close of the fourth quarter, two additional buildings remained under construction with a combined total of 70,000 square feet of inventory yet to be delivered.

Lancaster Submarket Cluster

Vacancy – The vacancy rates for the Lancaster Submarket Cluster in 2017 held steady for the first three quarters at 6.0%. Only in fourth quarter 2017 did we see the slightest movement in vacancy to 6.1%. Since its dip to 5.3% in third quarter 2016, the vacancy rate has returned to its recent historical average where it continues to remain stable.

Absorption – In the fourth quarter of 2017, net absorption dropped into the negatives for the first time all year, ending 2017 at negative (13,391) square feet. Net absorption was 2,462 square feet in third quarter 2017, 101,013 square feet in second quarter 2017 and 16,187 square feet in first quarter 2017.

Rental Rates – Even with a drop in net absorption and only a slight increase in vacancy rates, the quoted asking rental rate for available office space, all classes, in the Lancaster Submarket Cluster continued to increase throughout 2017. In the first quarter the quoted rental rate was $16.63, $17.13 in the second quarter, $17.20 in the third quarter and $17.46 in the fourth quarter. This is the highest quoted rental the Lancaster Submarket Cluster has experienced since prior to 2014.

Inventory – Two new office buildings were delivered to the Lancaster Submarket Cluster in 2017. Both delivered in the second quarter and combined they added a total of 113,000 square feet of new office space.

York/Hanover Submarket Cluster

Vacancy – The fourth quarter office vacancy rate for the York/Hanover Submarket Cluster held steady at 5.9%, the same as it was in the third quarter. This is slightly higher than the 5.6% vacancy rate in the second quarter and the 5.8% vacancy rate in the first quarter.

Absorption – The fourth quarter ended with a net absorption of 1,400 square feet. This is an increase from the third quarter’s negative (29,853) square feet that was a significant drop from the second quarter’s 15,646 square feet the first quarter 2017’s 31,636 square feet. This is the only increase in net absorption the market experienced in 2017.

Rental Rates – 2017 started off with a fairly steady quoted asking rental rate for available office space, all classes, of $17.40 per square foot. It increased by $0.01 in the second quarter to $17.41 and spiked in the third quarter at $18.05. Though still higher than the first two quarters, 2017 finished with a slight dip in quoted rental rates as it fell to $17.74.

Inventory – No new office buildings were delivered in the York/Hanover Submarket Cluster in 2017. There is one building under construction with a total RBA of 840 square feet.

Looking at the comparison of the three Central Pennsylvania submarket clusters, which do you feel is in the best position to start making some moves in 2018? Share your ideas by leaving a comment below.

[Online Resources] Real Estate, 2017, 2018, carlisle, central pa, cluster, Commercial Real Estate, Economy, first quarter, fourth quarter, hanover, harrisburg, lancaster, mike kusher, office, Omni Realty, pennsylvania, rental rates, second quarter, submarkets, tenant representative, third quarter, trends, york

Central Pennsylvania Office Real Estate Report for Q2 2017

Posted on August 14, 2017 by Mike Kushner in Blog, Commercial Real Estate, Local Market, Trends No Comments

Decrease in vacancy and recent record high for rental rates indicate a healthy demand for Central Pennsylvania Office Space.

Central Pennsylvania’s office real estate market should have very few concerns or complaints based upon its performance in Q2 2017. Three new office spaces were delivered this quarter, all of which are 100% preleased. As a result, net absorption continued to rise into the black by more than 50,000 square feet. Vacancy declined as did vacant square footage. Most noteworthy, the quoted rental rate jumped by $0.10 per square foot, making this quarter the highest quoted rental rate the market has seen since prior to Q3 2013!

In addition to these highlights, there is a lot more we can take away from the local office real estate market’s performance this last quarter. Here are the major actions that have taken place in Central Pennsylvania according to CoStar’s Q2 Office Statistics.

SELECT YEAR-TO-DATE DELIVERIES

Three new office spaces entered the market in Q2 2017 and they all made it to CoStar’s Select Top Year-to-Date Deliveries. The largest of the three is at 100 Millport Road in Lancaster. The 93,000 square-feet of B Class office space is 100% prelease. Next on the list for Central PA’s Q2 deliveries is the Goodville Mutual Expansion located in Lancaster. Goodville Mutual Casualty Company added on an additional 20,000 square-feet of Class B office space that is 100% prelease. Last but not least is the 13,000 square-foot Class B office space located at 40 Old Willow Mill Road in Mechanicsburg that is 100% preleased to Penn State Medical Group.

SELECT TOP LEASES

Of the Select Top Leases featured in the Q2 CoStar Office Market Report, just one lease from the Central Pennsylvania submarket made the list, but it did so at number 5. A large healthcare company, Centene leased the office space at 300 Corporate Center Drive, Harrisburg from Cushman & Wakefeld. The total space of the lease is 68,846 square-feet.

ABSORPTION

Net absorption is back on the rise, after taking a hit last quarter. In Q2 it was just 35,817 square-feet; now it is 88,814 square-feet. Though there is a long way to go to reach the recent record high of 421,430 square-feet that we saw in the beginning of 2015, we are at least headed back in the right direction. Considering three new buildings entered the market this month with a combined 126,000 square-feet of space, it’s a good indicator of market demand that net absorption rose.

OVERALL VACANCY & RENTAL RATES (ALL CLASSES)

This quarter, the market experienced a decrease in vacancy from 6.0% last quarter to 5.7% currently. This correlates with the decrease in vacant square-footage, down from last quarter’s 3,273,675 square-feet to 3,080,214 square-feet currently. Most noteworthy, the quoted rental rate has risen significantly, $0.10 per square foot in just one quarter. It now stands at $17.67 per square foot which is higher than it’s been since prior to Q3 2013. With only one building under construction, new space will not be entering the market anytime soon, forcing businesses to continue to use up existing inventory.

CLASS A TRENDS

Specifically looking at class A office space, vacancy is at 8.2% and the quoted rental rate is $20.80 per square-foot. The year-to-date net absorption is 20,217 square-feet, with 60,000 square-feet in year-to-date deliveries and 40,000 square-feet currently under construction.

CLASS B TRENDS

Specifically looking at class B office space, vacancy is at 5.5% and the quoted rental rate is $17.36 per square-foot. The year-to-date net absorption is 235,677 square-feet, with 126,000 square-feet in year-to-date deliveries. No new buildings are currently under construction.

CLASS C TRENDS

Specifically looking at class C office space, vacancy is at 4.7% and the quoted rental rate is $15.79 per square-foot. The year-to-date net absorption is negative 131,263 square-feet. This is a major drop compared to the other classes and the overall net absorption for the Central PA submarket as a whole. There are zero year-to-date deliveries and zero projects under construction for class C space.

What trend from the second quarter did you find most interesting or impactful to Central Pennsylvania’s office market? Share your opinion by leaving a comment!

Learn more from past market reports:

Central Pennsylvania Industrial Real Estate Report for Q2 2017

Central Pennsylvania Industrial Real Estate Report for Q1 2017

Central PA’s Office Real Estate Market Hangs on to Low Vacancy, Slows Down on Net Absorption

[Online Resources] Real Estate, 2017, buyers agent, carlisle, central pennsylvania, Commercial Real Estate, costar, harrisburg, hershey, lancaster, lease, lemoyne, market, mechanicsburg, Mike Kushner, new cumberland, office, Omni Realty Group, q2, real estate agent, real estate broker, rent, report, second quarter, space, statistics, tenant representative, trends, york

Central Pennsylvania’s Retail Real Estate Market Experiences Record-Setting Quarter

Posted on September 15, 2016 by Mike Kushner in Blog, Local Market, Trends No Comments

This quarter has posted some of the highest and lowest numbers we have seen since 2012. In Central Pennsylvania’s local retail real estate market, vacancy rate is low, rental rate is high and both net absorption and total RBA have increased. But overall, what does this tell us about the state of our economy and what we can expect in future quarters?

Let’s take a closer look at some of the record-setting numbers we experienced in Central Pennsylvania’s retail real estate market in 2016’s second quarter and what they mean to the health of the economy.

Select Year-to-Date Deliveries:

Coming in at number three on the list of select year-to-date deliveries is the retail property located at I-81 and Walker Road in Chambersburg. Phase I and II, delivered in Q1 2016, total 109,237 square-feet of space that is 92% leased (44,000 square-feet with 4,400 square-feet vacant). Some of the major tenants include Kohl’s, Target, Giant, Red Robin, Staples, PetSmart, Michael’s, Olive Garden, VisionWorks, ATT&T and many more. Palisades Development, LLC are currently processing LOIs for the remaining space. Phase III is planned and construction will proceed when leasing warrants.

At number 15 on CoStar’s list, is another Palisades Development, LCC retail property located at 968 Norland Avenue in Chambersburg. This 10,800 square-foot building is 100% occupied and was also delivered in Q1 2016.

Select Top Retail Leases:

On the list of Select Top Retail Leases, Harrisburg area east claimed the top spot. Listed at number one is the Harrisburg East Shopping Center with 69,954 square-feet of space. Although not listed by CoStar’s as a “Select Top Retail Lease” for this quarter, plans are in place for the Giant currently in Colonial Commons, to make a move 0.2 miles down Jonestown Road to the Harrisburg East Shopping Center into the retail space formerly occupied by Gander Mountain. This will provide more space for Giant and is already attracting additional retail businesses nearby including a CVS Pharmacy and potentially a fast-casual restaurant, reports KIMCO, owner of the shopping center.

Select Top Sales:

Only one of the nine Select Top Sales from April 2015-June 2016 is from the Central Pennsylvania submarket. The Shoppes at Susquehanna Marketplace sold for $44,000,000 to Clarion Partners. With an RBA of 110,365 square-feet, this came at a cost of $398.68 per square foot.

Additionally, the West Porte Center, listed by CoStar as a Select Top Retail Lease, is more accurately represented as a sale. PennDOT purchased 67,126 square-feet of land for a new Amtrak station in Middletown that is expected to be finished in 2018. This is estimated to be a $32 million project which will include features like a covered pedestrian bridge to provide direct access to Penn State Harrisburg’s campus.

Absorption and Demand:

Net absorption increased this quarter from 64,467 square-feet (in Q1) to 110,449 square-feet, currently. Total RBA also increased, though just slightly, from 88,822,714 square-feet (in Q1) to 88,854,312 square-feet, currently. Six buildings were delivered with a total RBA of 31,598 square-feet. Additionally, five buildings are under construction.

Vacancy:

This quarter, the vacancy rate decreased by 0.1% to 4.7%. This once again matches the vacancy rate of Q4 2015, which is the lowest rate the Central PA submarket has experienced since prior to Q3 2012.

Rental Rate:

The quoted rental rate increased this quarter by $0.11 to $12.00. This is the highest price per square-foot the local retail real estate market has experienced since prior to Q3 2012.

Our Summary/Analysis:

Q2 2016 provided to be an exciting and record-setting quarter for Central Pennsylvania’s retail real estate market. We experienced a recent record low for vacancy rate at 4.7% and a recent record high for quoted rental rate at $12.00 per square-foot. These two trends go hand in hand, so it’s no surprise they would correlate together.

Another positive indicator for the health of the retail real estate market is the increase in net absorption and total RBA. Though neither were record-setting per se, net absorption nearly doubled in a single quarter which is impressive in its own right. It’s safe to say that the market is growing in demand, increasing in price and is able to absorb the new buildings that have been delivered.

What trend do you think will have the greatest impact on the Central Pennsylvania retail market? Share your insight by commenting below!

[Online Resources] Real Estate, 2016, advice, analysis, blog, building, business, buy, commercial, Construction, costar, data, Economy, expert, facts, growth, lease, market report, Mike Kushner, new, news, numbers, Omni Realty, opinion, prediction, project, q2, retail, sale, second quarter, sell, space, statistics, store, trends

Q2 Shows Why Central PA’s Industrial Real Estate is a Premiere ‘Big Box’ Market

Posted on August 18, 2015 by Mike Kushner in Blog, Local Market, Trends No Comments

To the hundreds of thousands of people who call Central Pennsylvania home, we have found countless reasons to fall in love with the area from our beautiful blend of distinct cultures to the Capital city and Hershey’s Chocolate World.

But to industrial businesses that rely upon the ease and affordability of shipping their products to make a living, Central Pennsylvania has an entirely unique list of reasons why planting roots in this area makes sense.

Looking at how our industrial real estate market performed in Q2 2015 provides us with some clear insights into why Central PA is such an attractive location for “Big Box” warehouse and multi-tenant logistics users around the world – and growing! Let’s take a look at what the numbers tell us.

Select Top Under-Construction Properties

Four of the top five Select Under-Construction Properties this quarter are located in the Central PA submarket. Combined, ProLogis Shippensburg, Nordstrom Distribution Center, ProLogis Carlisle – Building 1 and LogistiCenter Carlisle – Building 2 total more than 4 million square feet of new industrial space that will be delivered to the market between next quarter and Q2 2016. These high profile projects are an exciting sign of a growing and thriving industrial market here in Central PA.

Select Year-to-Date Deliveries:

Year-to-date, the Central Pennsylvania submarket has delivered over 1.7 million square feet of new industrial space. The property delivered specifically this quarter is located at 561 S. Muddy Creek Road in East Cocalico Township, Lancaster. This is the new location of Pet Food Experts’ $12 million, 197,000 square foot facility that is 100% occupied.

Vacancy:

In Q2, we experienced a substantial decrease in vacancy that resulted in a vacancy rate of 4.7%. Having fallen from 5.2% last quarter, this dip is the first we have been below 5% since 2008. In fact, back through 2011 we have most commonly seen vacancy rates in the high 7% and low 8%. This trend is sure to have impact in other areas of the market as well.

Absorption and Demand:

The net absorption decreased from last quarter’s 2,908,709 square feet to 1,423,990 square feet this quarter. Given last quarter delivered three new buildings and this quarter delivered just one, this is an appropriate net absorption for the quarter that does not signal a red flag

Rental Rates:

For the first time since Q4 2009, the quoted rental rate has exceeded $4.00 a square-foot, coming in at $4.07 for Q2 2015. This $0.13 increase to last quarter’s quoted rental rate of $3.94 is certainly connected to the decrease in vacancy that is also at a recent record low.

Our Summary/Analysis:

Central PA is considered one of the premier “Big Box” industrial and multi-tenant logistics markets because of the area’s affordable cost of living, raw land and non-union labor. Additionally, the governmental approvals required for warehousing and distribution are comparatively easy and straightforward compared to other states or regions

As far as location, it is a central hub where products can be easily distributed throughout the northeast United States (via I-81, I-83, and I-78) and has seen significant capital invested for expansion of its intermodal system. Central PA also offers easy access to Port of Baltimore, MD and Port of Elizabeth, NJ and is within a one-day drive to 40% of the nation’s population

Now having gained an understanding of just why Central PA makes such an attractive spot for industrial businesses, we can connect the dots as to what the market growth and demand we experienced in the second quarter means for our overall economic health.

Most importantly, this data means that businesses are continuing to move into the area, particularly “Big Box” businesses that rely heavily on distribution. With over 4 million square-feet currently under construction and the highest rental rate in six years, this trend has lasting power. These growing businesses will likely fuel the local area with jobs, spending and an increase in transportation along our highways. Overall, we should feel excited and hopeful about these market trends. Any cons to industrial growth will most certainly be outweighed by the pros!

How will the growth of the local industrial real estate market impact you or your business? Share your personal insights – or ask a question by commenting below!

[Online Resources] Real Estate, 2015, absorption, advice, analysis, camp hill, central pa, costar, cumberland, data, dauphin, demand, economic growth, economic health, Economy, expert, facts, harrisburg, industrial, lancaster, local market, market, mechanicsburg, Mike Kushner, Omni Realty, pennsylvania, prediction future, q2, rental rate, report, second quarter, space, statistics, summary, trends, vacany, warehouse, york